Winter, 2017
LEWISTON, Maine (AP)
Northeasterners, keep your mittens, boots and show shovel handy.
The Farmer’s Almanac
that goes on sale this week predicts a snowy winter from Maryland to
Maine with five coastal storms to bring winter misery to the region.
The publication, now in its 200th year, isn’t afraid to go out on a limb with long-term weather forecasts
that rely on a formula founder David Young first used in 1818 that
utilizes sunspots, tidal action and other factors shunned by modern
scientists.
ADVERTISING editors
are looking to redeem themselves after missing the mark when heavy snow
failed to materialize in the Midwest and the Middle Atlantic states
were milder than anticipated last winter.
“Being in the business of predicting long-range weather
forecasts is exciting, worrisome and rewarding,” said managing editor
Sandi Duncan. “Many of our readers rejoice when we predict cold and
snowy conditions while others complain that it’s too cold and wet. Yet
we have to stick by our predictions no matter what Mother Nature may
throw at us.”
The 2018 edition dubbed this winter: “The cold, the dry, and the wet, and the wild.” Its reclusive weather
prognosticator, who works under a pseudonym, suggests
colder-than-normal temperatures for eastern and central regions,
wetter-than-normal weather for southeastern states and drier-than-normal
conditions for the nation’s western third that was pummeled by snow
last winter. It also predicts “wild” winter variations for the area
where Arkansas, Louisiana, and Oklahoma meet.
Editors continue to stick to their timeworn formula, even though they admit forecasting is an “inexact science.”
Modern scientists are skeptical.
Maine State Climatologist Sean Birkel prefers the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s number-crunching forecasts that
rely on numerical models, statistics and observation.
There’s more than just weather in the almanac, which has a
circulation of 2.1 million in North America. The Maine-based
publication, not to be confused with the Old Farmer’s Almanac in
neighboring New Hampshire, is finding new readers among Americans
interested in where their food comes from, growing fresh produce in home
gardens and finding a simpler way of living.
Many of those readers are city dwellers who may never set foot on a farm, said Editor Peter Geiger.
The changing demographics inspired a change. The cover still features an old farmhouse but it also depicts skyscrapers, as well.
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